{"id":737,"date":"2025-02-20T10:09:20","date_gmt":"2025-02-20T10:09:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/futuredesignteam.in\/client\/politicus\/?p=737"},"modified":"2025-02-25T10:22:41","modified_gmt":"2025-02-25T10:22:41","slug":"joblessness-edges-higher-but-employment-grows-strongly","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/futuredesignteam.in\/client\/politicus\/joblessness-edges-higher-but-employment-grows-strongly\/","title":{"rendered":"Joblessness edges higher, but employment grows strongly"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"mb-4 font-serif text-lg sm:text-lg\">Australia\u2019s unemployment rate edged up to 4.1 per cent in January, but a higher-than-expected rise in jobs shows the labour market is still running hot.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 font-serif text-lg sm:text-lg\">Over the month, 44,000 jobs were added to the economy, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 font-serif text-lg sm:text-lg\">That was above consensus predictions of a 20,000-strong jobs boost.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 font-serif text-lg sm:text-lg\">The 0.1 percentage point gain in unemployment came after an identical rise in December, but the jobless rate remains historically low and below the 4.2 per cent figure recorded in July.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 font-serif text-lg sm:text-lg\">The participation rate rose to a new record high of 67.3 per cent, said the bureau\u2019s head of labour statistics Bjorn Jarvis.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 font-serif text-lg sm:text-lg\">\u201cMost of the rise in both employment and unemployment in January reflected rises for women, with female employment rising by 44,000 and unemployment by 24,000. In contrast, male employment and unemployment both changed by less than 1,000 people,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 font-serif text-lg sm:text-lg\">Some of the increase in unemployment reflected more people than usual with jobs in January who were waiting to start or return to work.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 font-serif text-lg sm:text-lg\">Strength in the labour market has been a bright spot in the economy, with the government welcoming the fact few workers have had to lose their jobs to bring down inflation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 font-serif text-lg sm:text-lg\">But for RBA governor Michele Bullock, ongoing signs of tightness in the labour market weigh against further interest rate cuts, because of the threat it could cause inflation to rise again.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 font-serif text-lg sm:text-lg\">Despite slashing the cash rate for the first time in more than four years, Bullock made clear the board was far from comfortable with the direction the economy was heading.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 font-serif text-lg sm:text-lg\">\u201cWe cannot declare victory on inflation just yet,\u201d she told reporters on Tuesday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 font-serif text-lg sm:text-lg\">\u201cMany indicators suggest that the labour market is tight, and on some measures tightening further.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 font-serif text-lg sm:text-lg\">\u201cWhile this is good news for job seekers, the board remains alert to the possibility that it is signalling a bit more strength in the economy, which could delay or stall the disinflation process.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 font-serif text-lg sm:text-lg\">While bad news for workers, Wednesday\u2019s report that annual wage growth fell from 3.6 per cent to 3.2 per cent in the December quarter should ease some of Bullock\u2019s fears that low unemployment is fuelling growth in labour costs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 font-serif text-lg sm:text-lg\">Low productivity growth remains a concern for the RBA and the government, even as wage growth cools and unemployment rises.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 font-serif text-lg sm:text-lg\">A key risk to the economy\u2019s outlook, identified by the Reserve Bank in its Statement on Monetary Policy, is that productivity growth remains persistently weaker than predicted.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 font-serif text-lg sm:text-lg\">That could cause inflation to rise again if wages continue to grow faster than the output workers produce.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 font-serif text-lg sm:text-lg\">Three years of near-consistent productivity declines have become a key concern for the Australian economy, said Deloitte Access Economics partner David Rumbens.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 font-serif text-lg sm:text-lg\">\u201cLabour productivity is a key determinant of economic growth and overall living standards,\u201d he said as he unveiled Deloitte\u2019s latest Employment Forecasts report.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 font-serif text-lg sm:text-lg\">\u201cAustralia needs a productivity boost \u2013 from the market sector via investment, particularly in technology, and from the non-market sector via economic reforms.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Australia\u2019s unemployment rate edged up to 4.1 per cent in January, but a higher-than-expected rise in jobs shows the labour market is still running hot. Over the month, 44,000 jobs were added to the economy, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics. That was above consensus predictions of a 20,000-strong jobs boost. The 0.1 percentage [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":739,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,62],"tags":[48,19],"class_list":["post-737","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-columns","category-green-is-the-new-black","tag-columns","tag-featured"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/futuredesignteam.in\/client\/politicus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/737","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/futuredesignteam.in\/client\/politicus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/futuredesignteam.in\/client\/politicus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuredesignteam.in\/client\/politicus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuredesignteam.in\/client\/politicus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=737"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/futuredesignteam.in\/client\/politicus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/737\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":738,"href":"https:\/\/futuredesignteam.in\/client\/politicus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/737\/revisions\/738"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuredesignteam.in\/client\/politicus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/739"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/futuredesignteam.in\/client\/politicus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=737"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuredesignteam.in\/client\/politicus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=737"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futuredesignteam.in\/client\/politicus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=737"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}